Called It!

As this site hypothesized a few days ago (hypothesized only, no conclusions, as no testing was done, which is the basis of the scientific method!) "We use science" is the new "You're a racist" to shut down debate.  And bars & restaurants.

This site also hypothesized (okay, wondered) what science (data) was used to shut down Toronto bars & restaurants & gyms. 

My upspoken hypothesis was that "no data was used". It was more "the squeaky wheel gets the grease" theory.  In that Toronto's Medical Officer of Health, Dr. Eileen Devilla.....

....who - based on science - had been pleading with the Ontario government's Chief Medical Officer, Dr. David Williams, to shut everything down. 

Well, the government just released the information they used to shut the bars & restaurants & gyms.

And guess what?

No data.

In fact, it was have been the opposite of using data.

So let's look at the "data".  And by data, I mean the data from this article, as I don't have access to the report.

The report looked at Toronto between August 1st and October 24th, although bars & restaurants were shut down Oct 9th.  There were reported 27 outbreaks (outbreak meaning more than one case reported) at Toronto's restaurants.  So that is 27 events over 9 weeks, 3 per week.

For 7,500 restaurants!

So for the 0.3% (27/7,500) of the restaurants that had cases, they shut them all down.  Talk about bringing the hammer down.

So have those restaurant lockdowns brought the rate down?

You be the judge. So I'm guessing the medical folks never used any data - or science - to begin with.  

Knew it all along!

So now that this report has come out, Ontario's Premier, Doug Ford, is telling the medical folks to go back to the drawing board to come up with some alternatives.

Here's one; shut down the 0.3% of violators and leave the rest alone!  In fact, bringing the hammer down on the violators will keep the rest on their toes.

And me in my cups!  Cheers!