So What The Hey Is Going On In Toronto?

As advertised yesterday, let's drill into the evil Toronto covid-19 numbers. Looking at yesterday's chart, things aren't looking good for the largest city in Canada (and fourth largest in North America).

[As always, click on any graph to zoom in.]

Toronto is way, way over the Government's new "7-day case rate/100,000 population" target of 25 .

So who are the bad actors?

Here is a chart of Toronto neighbourhoods, showing recent case rates/100,000.  The legend is, the darker the blue, the more poo-poo.

So let's drill into some of these darker - and lighter -neighborhoods.  Definitely zoom in on this one.

So #1 is Mount Olive (upper left corner), coming in at an astonishing rate of 285.  More than ten times the government target!  

The City of Toronto describes Mount Olive as a culturally diverse community.  So lots of large families living in small apartments/townhouses. 

Similar descriptions for other three, Dorset Park a "Priority Neighbourhood" and St. James Town is Canada's most densely populated neighbourhood and Oakridge is also described a culturally diverse.    So a lot of similar themes here. And they are all well over the target.

But let's look at some of the lighter coloured neighbourhoods.  And at the risk of being politically incorrect, it is not just lighter colours on the map, ahem....

For those that know Toronto, favourable addresses can be found throughout The Beaches, Rosedale and Lawrence Park (highest income per capita in Canada - $622,000).

But everybody knows Rosedale, so lets look at that.

Last week there were seven Covid cases in Rosedale. With Rosedale's population of about 20,000, that would mean 7 cases per 20,000.  To compare that to the government's stats of "per 100,000" you would multiply by 5 (5 x 20,000 = 100,000).  

So Rosedale's rate would be...hmmm...carry the five, hmmm...subtract the hmmm....okay 7 x 5 = 35 (33 with some rounding).

What?  33?  Rosedale is over the government's lockdown target!  Rosedale?

And that is only 7 cases in a week.  One per day, for 20,000 people and they are over the target!

That is one tough target.

And that's all I have to say......

Are you still there?  Actually, I have a lot more to say, but....nevermind.....