Tuesday 3 November 2020

Forever Blue.....?

Prediction: No Republican will ever be elected President of the United States again.

Bold, you say?

No.  It is for one reason.


This map shows how states often vote, with Democratic states in blue and Republican states in red.

What is happening is that Democrats are fleeing high tax/high cost Democratic states, like California and New York and moving to Republican states like Texas (& Arizona) and Florida, respectively.

Why does that matter?

Well, California will always be Democratic, but if enough of them flee to Texas.....

....they still vote Democratic and will shift the balance of power away from a traditionally solid Republican state.

Ditto for New Yorkers fleeing for Florida.


So if Texas and Florida flip to Democratic, the Republicans are doomed; the math cannot work for them to get to 270 Electoral votes. 

And we may see the this impact this election, if Florida turns blue.

The irony of this is Democrats are fleeing the high taxes and high costs that their Democratic policies drive.  Only to bring their Democratic ideas with them to their new homes.

And it's driving Texans nuts.


Anyway, US politics - best spectator sport in the world.


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