Thursday 5 November 2020

When We Last Spoke......

 ...the US election was in gridlock.  


No clear winner, but both Biden & Trump had a clear path to victory.  Although with the way undecided states were leaning, Trump had the clearer path.

24 hours later things have clarified.  Somewhat.

Some states have gone final, giving Biden a commanding lead.  

And if one of the remaining five go Blue - and he is leading in Nevada - he will be the next President.

Let's look deeper at a couple of those, starting with Nevada.


Biden has a very slim lead, but with only 75% of the votes counted.  A nation's eyes are on you.

What's up with the 75%?   I don't think little old Nevada, with their six votes, has ever had the national spotlight on them before.

But if Florida - the eternal basket case for messed up elections and with a population seven times that of Nevada - can get all their votes counted by 9pm of election day, what's wrong with Nevada?

It's not like they're not familiar with counting stuff, with Las Vegas and Reno in that state. So that state could swing to Trump.

The other two interesting states would be Pennsylvania and Georgia. 

Trump has the lead in Pennsylvania, but not nearly as large a lead as yesterday.  As the infamous "mail-in" ballots are now being counted.

And for whatever reason, a lot of them are from the Phillie area.  Which traditionally votes about 80% Democrat.


So even though Trump has a 160,000 vote lead right now, there are still over 750,000 votes to be counted.

So let's do the math on the 750,000 votes with the Dems taking 80% of them......


...and, Sweet Mama Lama, Biden now has a 300,00 vote lead.  And takes Pennsylvania's 20 votes.  And the Presidency.   Don't even need to talk about Georgia.  And their fine, sweet peaches.

Trump is not going down with a fight, of course, and is contesting the results in several states.

So stay tuned......


1 comment:

Hanna said...

Looking forward to the continuing excellent reporting by the Arnotti News Group on this topic this week!! Otherwise who can keep all this straight?! :)