Wednesday 29 April 2020

April 28th COVID Stats


New COVID cases in Canada.

[As always, click on any graph to zoom in.]



Things at least leveling out.  But let's drill down into the provincial level.  Looking at a rolling 7 day average of "New Cases / Million Population".




Well will you look at that.  Quebec and Ontario on a slight downward trend.  And the two Golden Boys, Alberta and BC, ticking upwards.

Deaths from yesterday......



Quebec (83) and Ontario (59) still the main contributors. But they have the largest provinces.  What does it look like on a per capita basis?




Oh.  Quebec and Ontario also way out in front in Deaths / Million Population as well.


But health authorities are stumped that after seven weeks of "stay at home" lock downs, how can there still be this much community spread.

The theory is that too many people are cheating; soccer games in the evening, house parties in basements, family visits (even though not living together), shopping when it's not necessary (buying one or two items).  Lots of different ways to spread the virus.

If everybody was following the rules, those curves should be coming down way faster.





3 comments:

northerndreamer said...

The problem with the theory (people aren't following the rules) is that the government admits they have no idea how the transmission is happening, so it's a stab in the dark. Until we have wide-scale random testing and contact tracing, we have no idea what's really happening. We have done an outstanding job of flattening the curve in this country based on the numbers we have but the downside of that is the vast majority of us are still potential targets for this virus.

Urban Cowboy said...

True. Although I think community transmission is still very high up on the "probable culprit" list.

northerndreamer said...

I would agree. My point is that "community transmission" is all encompassing. Are we passing the virus at grocery stores, at the gas pumps, the bank, all or none of the above??? Dr. Henry in BC is telling people to get fresh air because the chance of passing the virus is lessened outdoors. Is she right?